Daily Fundamentals - September 25, 2012

Tuesday, September 25, 20120 comments

There wasn't any economic report released from the U.S. luckily for the dollar, risk aversion dominated market sentiment in the last two days.

It seems that we're seeing investors are turning their focus to economic data. Market participants are starting to realize that the all the stimulus measures that central banks from all over the world are nothing to be happy about. They were started because the economy was in the dumps, and that's not something to be optimistic about.

The market haven't been too kind to the Euro over the past week or so. In fact, they've been selling it off at a pretty steady pace ever since excitement over QE3 died down.

Euro still under pressure as German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Francois Hollande clashed over a timetable for starting joint oversight of European’s banks. News that Greece might be facing a shortfall in its budget and Spain's refusal to ask for a bailout also weighed down on sentiment.
Disappointing economic data from Germany also hinted that the country could be headed for a recession.

Traders seem to have their eyes on the three euro zone countries because more bad news could intensify risk aversion and send the dollar even higher.

The minutes of the most recent BOJ meeting reiterated the central bank's concerns about the yen's strength. The BOJ's actions still not comparable in terms of the size to those of the Fed and ECB. So I guess it wasn't much of a surprise to see the yen ignore the dovish minutes.

Of course, it also helped the yen that risk aversion dominated market sentiment on renewed concerns about the euro zone.

Tonight, At 8:00 the S&P house price index for July is anticipated to show that house prices increased by 1.3% during the month. Then at 9:00 pm, Conference Board's consumer confidence report for September will be released. The consensus is for an increase of 63.1. Those will probably affect the currency's price action.
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